Howard 
W-L: (26- 8) PR = 94.6344
Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score
1104 A Providence BE (14-19, 94.2) 68-56
1108 A Florida A&M SWAC ( 8-22, 91.7) 89-53
1111 A George Wash A10 (18-17, 94.2) 62-60
1115 A Elon CA (15-16, 93.0) 56-46
1117 H VCU A10 ( 8-24, 93.5) 66-69
1120 A Monmouth CA (19-13, 93.4) 57-44
1123 A Will&Mary CA (16-14, 93.2) 64-53
1126 H Purdue B10 (13-17, 95.6) 62-92
1130 H Syracuse ACC (22-10, 96.5) 62-78
1205 A Fairfield MAAC (29- 5, 95.8) 72-69
1207 H Old Dominion SB (18-14, 94.5) 59-63
1210 H Virginia ACC (21-13, 96.1) 50-76
1213 A Hampton CA ( 7-21, 92.1) 64-60
1216 A Cincinnati B12 (11-20, 94.8) 66-64
1220 A St. Bonnies A10 (16-16, 93.8) 76-64
1229 H Army PAT (26- 7, 94.4) 56-64
103 A SC St MEAC ( 3-25, 90.4) 68-64
108 A Delaware St MEAC ( 6-23, 90.9) 73-63
110 H MD-Ea Shore MEAC (20-15, 93.4) 56-62
117 A NC Center MEAC ( 9-20, 91.3) 69-61
122 A Coppin St MEAC ( 9-23, 91.8) 64-51
124 A Morgan State MEAC ( 5-25, 90.9) 71-57
131 A Norfolk St MEAC (17-15, 92.8) 68-59
207 A SC St MEAC ( 3-25, 90.4) 85-66
212 A Delaware St MEAC ( 6-23, 90.9) 68-51
214 A MD-Ea Shore MEAC (20-15, 93.4) 66-45
221 A NC Center MEAC ( 9-20, 91.3) 66-58
226 A Coppin St MEAC ( 9-23, 91.8) 75-67
228 A Morgan State MEAC ( 5-25, 90.9) 84-65
305 A Norfolk St MEAC (17-15, 92.8) 74-59
311 A SC St MEAC ( 3-25, 90.4) 75-43
313 A Coppin St MEAC ( 9-23, 91.8) 65-50
314 A Norfolk St MEAC (17-15, 92.8) 53-46
321 H Ohio St B10 (27- 9, 97.9) 54-75
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
1104 A Providence 68-56 12 0 1.61
1108 A Florida A&M 89-53 36 3 0.00
1111 A George Wash 62-60 2 0 1.61
1115 A Elon 56-46 10 2 0.40
1117 H VCU 66-69 -3 1 - -3.15
1120 A Monmouth 57-44 13 1 0.74
1123 A Will&Mary 64-53 11 1 0.58
1126 H Purdue 62-92 -30 -1 -1.09
1130 H Syracuse 62-78 -16 -2 -0.15
1205 A Fairfield 72-69 3 -1 + 3.17
1207 H Old Dominion 59-63 -4 0 - -2.16
1210 H Virginia 50-76 -26 -1 -0.52
1213 A Hampton 64-60 4 3 0.00
1216 A Cincinnati 66-64 2 0 + 2.13
1220 A St. Bonnies 76-64 12 1 1.13
1229 H Army 56-64 -8 0 - -2.21
103 A SC St 68-64 4 4 0.00
108 A Delaware St 73-63 10 4 0.00
110 H MD-Ea Shore 56-62 -6 1 - -3.28
117 A NC Center 69-61 8 3 0.00
122 A Coppin St 64-51 13 3 0.00
124 A Morgan State 71-57 14 4 0.00
131 A Norfolk St 68-59 9 2 0.15
207 A SC St 85-66 19 4 0.00
212 A Delaware St 68-51 17 4 0.00
214 A MD-Ea Shore 66-45 21 1 0.74
221 A NC Center 66-58 8 3 0.00
226 A Coppin St 75-67 8 3 0.00
228 A Morgan State 84-65 19 4 0.00
305 A Norfolk St 74-59 15 2 0.15
311 A SC St 75-43 32 4 0.00
313 A Coppin St 65-50 15 3 0.00
314 A Norfolk St 53-46 7 2 0.15
321 H Ohio St 54-75 -21 -3 0.00
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
1117 H VCU 66-69 -3 1 - -3.15
1207 H Old Dominion 59-63 -4 0 - -2.16
1229 H Army 56-64 -8 0 - -2.21
110 H MD-Ea Shore 56-62 -6 1 - -3.28
|
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
1205 A Fairfield 72-69 3 -1 + 3.17
1216 A Cincinnati 66-64 2 0 + 2.13
|

division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 30.35
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 A Providence (14-19, 94.2) 68-56 -5.67 5.29 0.01 0.89 9.47
3 A Florida A&M ( 8-22, 91.7) 89-53 -8.23 2.73 0.01 0.89 4.90
3 A George Wash (18-17, 94.2) 62-60 -5.66 5.30 0.01 0.89 9.47
3 A Elon (15-16, 93.0) 56-46 -6.87 4.09 0.01 0.89 7.31
3 H VCU ( 8-24, 93.5) 66-69 -6.40 4.56 -0.01 0.89 -2.86
3 A Monmouth (19-13, 93.4) 57-44 -6.54 4.42 0.01 0.89 7.91
3 A Will&Mary (16-14, 93.2) 64-53 -6.70 4.26 0.01 0.89 7.63
3 H Purdue (13-17, 95.6) 62-92 -4.34 6.62 -0.01 0.89 -1.94
3 H Syracuse (22-10, 96.5) 62-78 -3.41 7.55 -0.01 0.89 -1.53
3 A Fairfield (29- 5, 95.8) 72-69 -4.11 6.85 0.01 0.89 12.25
3 H Old Dominion (18-14, 94.5) 59-63 -5.42 5.54 -0.01 0.89 -2.42
3 H Virginia (21-13, 96.1) 50-76 -3.77 7.19 -0.01 0.89 -1.69
3 A Hampton ( 7-21, 92.1) 64-60 -7.84 3.12 0.01 0.89 5.58
3 A Cincinnati (11-20, 94.8) 66-64 -5.14 5.82 0.01 0.89 10.40
3 A St. Bonnies (16-16, 93.8) 76-64 -6.15 4.81 0.01 0.89 8.61
3 H Army (26- 7, 94.4) 56-64 -5.47 5.49 -0.01 0.89 -2.44
3 A SC St ( 3-25, 90.4) 68-64 -9.50 1.46 0.01 0.89 2.63
3 A Delaware St ( 6-23, 90.9) 73-63 -9.05 1.91 0.01 0.89 3.43
3 H MD-Ea Shore (20-15, 93.4) 56-62 -6.54 4.42 -0.01 0.89 -2.92
3 A NC Center ( 9-20, 91.3) 69-61 -8.56 2.40 0.01 0.89 4.30
3 A Coppin St ( 9-23, 91.8) 64-51 -8.14 2.82 0.01 0.89 5.05
3 A Morgan State ( 5-25, 90.9) 71-57 -9.02 1.94 0.01 0.89 3.47
3 A Norfolk St (17-15, 92.8) 68-59 -7.12 3.84 0.01 0.89 6.86
3 A SC St ( 3-25, 90.4) 85-66 -9.50 1.46 0.01 0.89 2.63
3 A Delaware St ( 6-23, 90.9) 68-51 -9.05 1.91 0.01 0.89 3.43
3 A MD-Ea Shore (20-15, 93.4) 66-45 -6.54 4.42 0.01 0.89 7.92
3 A NC Center ( 9-20, 91.3) 66-58 -8.56 2.40 0.01 0.89 4.30
3 A Coppin St ( 9-23, 91.8) 75-67 -8.14 2.82 0.01 0.89 5.05
3 A Morgan State ( 5-25, 90.9) 84-65 -9.02 1.94 0.01 0.89 3.47
3 A Norfolk St (17-15, 92.8) 74-59 -7.12 3.84 0.01 0.89 6.86
3 A SC St ( 3-25, 90.4) 75-43 -9.50 1.46 0.01 0.89 2.63
3 A Coppin St ( 9-23, 91.8) 65-50 -8.14 2.82 0.01 0.89 5.05
3 A Norfolk St (17-15, 92.8) 53-46 -7.12 3.84 0.01 0.89 6.86
3 H Ohio St (27- 9, 97.9) 54-75 -1.98 8.98 -0.01 0.89 -0.89
------
140.79
|
winning pts = 157.4814 losing points = -16.6938
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction. ------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------